A GUERRILLA war in Iraq will continue for months unless the allies get a grip on security and restore electricity supplies, a renowned international peace expert from Huddersfield has claimed.
Prof Paul Rogers, of Kirkburton, who lectures in peace studies at Bradford University, also believes that the USA will never find hard evidence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, which was the main reason they waged war on Saddam Hussain.
Prof Rogers said: "The Iraqi people were, by and large, glad to see the back of Saddam Hussein's regime, but they are frustrated that the US has failed to get the electricity working and the economy is still in disarray.
"They expected things to be better quicker. The Americans expected to be welcomed as liberators, but instead are seen as occupiers.
"The signs are that unless they can get to grips with the security they are going to face low level guerrilla war that may go on for many months."
Prof Rogers said the USA went to war with Iraq in the teeth of strong opposition.
He added: "Its hope was that Iraq would move rapidly into a period of stability, wartime opposition would recede and other states would help on a large scale with maintaining security.
"That has simply not happened and a bitter insurgency is still developing."
He added: "Poland, Britain and others may help out to a limited extent, but the US is essentially on its own and will reap the political as well as the military consequences of the war."
Prof Rogers revealed he felt the allies had gone to war with Iraq because of its vast reserves of oil.
He said: "The key thing about Iraq is that it is an incredibly important part of the world.
"There is so much oil there that the US would not have unseated Saddam Hussein otherwise.
"There are other very nasty regimes around the world, some backed by Western governments.
"Iraq was in the wrong place and has so much oil it is really quite a prize."
Prof Rogers said there was a lot of information about Iraq from the United Nations.
He said there may have been a suspicion that the regime was developing chemical and biological weapons.
Weapons inspectors conducted intensive inspections of Iraq last winter and had not come up with any evidence of weapons programmes.
Immediately after the war with Iraq, further intensive searches were made at key sites which found nothing.
"It is unlikely that something will be found," he added.
"There may be small indications, but it is extremely unlikely that they will get the proof that weapons were ready to be launched within 45 minutes."
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